Austin vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austin v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
Austin vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
6-3
HT 2-0
Austin
ABD
2-3
HT 1-1
St. Louis City
ABD
Austin 2-2 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
Austin and St. Louis City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Austin had 40% of the ball to St. Louis City's 60%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.96 to 2.00.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, St. Louis City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Austin and 4.50 for St. Louis City.
What was the final score of Austin vs St. Louis City?
Austin 2-2 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austin vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Austin 37%, draw 30%, St. Louis City 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.