Austin vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Austin v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
Austin vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Austin 2-2 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
a 2-2 draw left Austin and St. Louis City with a point apiece. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
A draw from a 37% / 29% / 34% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, St. Louis City saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.96 to 2.00.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, St. Louis City led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Austin against 4.50 for St. Louis City.
Austin vs St. Louis City Result & Final Score
Austin 2 - 2 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Austin vs St. Louis City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Austin 37%, draw 29%, St. Louis City 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austin) went the other way.