Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Columbus Crew v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 3-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-2
HT 0-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
2-3
HT 2-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Columbus Crew squeezed past Chicago Fire 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Columbus Crew had 58% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 42%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.32 to 1.99 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chicago Fire.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Columbus Crew and 0.67 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire?
Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 58%, draw 22%, Chicago Fire 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.