New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York Red Bulls v FC Dallas — Team-Based Signals
New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
FC Dallas
ABD
1-3
HT 1-1
New York Red Bulls
ABD
3-0
HT 2-0
FC Dallas
ABD
2-2
HT 0-1
New York Red Bulls
ABD
4-0
HT 1-0
FC Dallas
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
New York Red Bulls 2-1 FC Dallas — Actual Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls edged past FC Dallas 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had New York Red Bulls as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, New York Red Bulls had 41% of the ball to FC Dallas's 59%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.03 to 0.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold New York Red Bulls's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for New York Red Bulls and 0.50 for FC Dallas.
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
New York Red Bulls 2-1 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 46%, draw 29%, FC Dallas 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.