San Jose Earthquakes 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.51
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 32% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.36
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.24
X/2
17%
5.95
X/X
11%
4.72
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.03
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.59/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.20
+1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
20.7 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.11 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
419 Passes 321
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 HT 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
05.03.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
05.09.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
15.05.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-3 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
24.10.2021 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
03.10.2021 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
0-2
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.63 xG 0.68
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
500 Passes 307
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps got the better of San Jose Earthquakes 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Vancouver Whitecaps found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 61% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 39%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.63 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.33 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

San Jose Earthquakes 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 35%, draw 28%, Vancouver Whitecaps 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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