St. Louis City vs Austin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v Austin — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs Austin Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
6-3
HT 2-0
Austin
ABD
2-3
HT 1-1
St. Louis City
ABD
St. Louis City 1-0 Austin — Actual Match Statistics
St. Louis City edged past Austin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had St. Louis City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, St. Louis City had 38% of the ball to Austin's 62%, shots finished 11-2, expected goals 1.52 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold St. Louis City's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, St. Louis City had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for St. Louis City and 2.33 for Austin.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Austin?
St. Louis City 1-0 Austin in the USA - Major League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Austin?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 46%, draw 26%, Austin 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.