New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York Red Bulls v FC Cincinnati — Team-Based Signals
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
FC Cincinnati
ABD
3-0
HT 2-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
1-2
HT 0-2
New York Red Bulls
ABD
New York Red Bulls 0-1 FC Cincinnati — Actual Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati squeezed past New York Red Bulls 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; FC Cincinnati found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, New York Red Bulls had 65% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 35%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.03 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.33 for FC Cincinnati.
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
New York Red Bulls 0-1 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 38%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.