FC Cincinnati 1-0 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 32% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
20%
4.5
X/2
9%
8.28
X/X
8%
4.78
2/1
10%
23.85
2/2
8%
6.37
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +13%
1.55/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.53
-19% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
14.1 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
2W-1D-3L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
365 Passes 210
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
07.04.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-2 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
05.11.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
30.10.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-0 HT 2-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
05.10.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-2 HT 0-2 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
13.07.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
1-0
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.75 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
349 Passes 418
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati nicked a narrow win over New York Red Bulls 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Cincinnati as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 48% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 52%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.75 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.50 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls?

FC Cincinnati 1-0 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 51%, draw 26%, New York Red Bulls 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
23 Feb 2025
00:45 Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United Analysis →
03:30 Inter Miami vs New York City FC Analysis →
03:30 Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
03:30 Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
03:30 DC United vs Toronto FC Analysis →
03:30 Atlanta United vs CF Montreal Analysis →