Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Columbus Crew v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 3-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-2
HT 0-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
2-3
HT 2-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
Columbus Crew 4-2 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Columbus Crew got the better of Chicago Fire 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Columbus Crew had 57% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 43%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.50 to 1.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Columbus Crew and 0.83 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire?
Columbus Crew 4-2 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 52%, draw 23%, Chicago Fire 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.