Atlanta United 3-2 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.73
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.9
X/1
18%
4.09
X/2
5%
13.3
X/X
11%
6.89
2/1
7%
19.95
2/2
11%
10.3
2/X
7%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.97/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.82
+6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
413 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.6 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlanta United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.56 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 Passes 391
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 0-2 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
03.10.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-2 HT 1-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
14.07.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
24.09.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-1 HT 2-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
09.07.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
30.04.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
3-2
AWAY CF Montreal
1.46 xG 2.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
366 Passes 389
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United nicked a narrow win over CF Montreal 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atlanta United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atlanta United had 49% of the ball to CF Montreal's 51%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.46 to 2.68 — on chances, CF Montreal could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atlanta United and 1.33 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs CF Montreal?

Atlanta United 3-2 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 54%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlanta United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atlanta United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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