CF Montreal 2-2 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.49
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
17%
5.28
X/2
16%
5.76
X/X
7%
4.64
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
14%
3.94
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.41/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.52
+7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
19.1 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.55 xG 1.44
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
342 Passes 426
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-2 HT 1-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
14.07.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
24.09.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-1 HT 2-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
09.07.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
30.04.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
19.03.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 3-3 HT 1-3 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
2-2
AWAY Atlanta United
1.63 xG 1.34
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
629 Passes 287
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 24
37 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal and Atlanta United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was CF Montreal at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 67% of the ball to Atlanta United's 33%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.63 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CF Montreal and 1.67 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Atlanta United?

CF Montreal 2-2 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 41%, draw 23%, Atlanta United 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✗ Under 2.5
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