Orlando City 2-4 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
13%
8.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 25% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
22%
4.21
X/2
10%
10.6
X/X
9%
6.09
2/1
7%
20.45
2/2
9%
8.05
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.87/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.61
+11% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.2 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 2.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
343 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 2-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
12.05.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-3 HT 1-2 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
22.06.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 2-2 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
26.03.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-2 HT 1-2 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
11.09.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 5-1 HT 2-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
24.07.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 0-1 HT 0-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
2-4
AWAY Philadelphia Union
2.49 xG 1.85
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
418 Passes 328
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Philadelphia Union beat Orlando City 4-2 away from home in the USA - Major League on 23 Feb 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Orlando City had 55% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 45%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.49 to 1.85.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Orlando City and 2.00 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union?

Orlando City 2-4 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 51%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 25%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orlando City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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