Orlando City 2-1 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.65
2-3 Goals
35%
2.02
4-5 Goals
28%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.26
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
18%
4.54
X/2
7%
8.79
X/X
13%
6.24
2/1
8%
20.0
2/2
18%
5.59
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.9pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.77/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.45
+10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.4 Crosses 16.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
344 Passes 316
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-3 HT 1-2 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
22.06.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 2-2 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
26.03.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-2 HT 1-2 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
11.09.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 5-1 HT 2-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
24.07.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 0-1 HT 0-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
11.05.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 2-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
2-1
AWAY Philadelphia Union
2.23 xG 2.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
393 Passes 327
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Orlando City edged past Philadelphia Union 2-1 in the USA - Major League on 3 Oct 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Orlando City had 53% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 47%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.23 to 2.22.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Orlando City and 2.00 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union?

Orlando City 2-1 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 41%, draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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