Columbus Crew 2-3 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.61
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.07
2-3 Goals
41%
2.08
4-5 Goals
27%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.83
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
12%
5.33
X/2
13%
6.89
X/X
13%
6.14
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.35
2/2
14%
4.02
2/X
9%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.35 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.9pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +22%
1.58/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.40
+9% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
16.5 Crosses 11.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 0.89
57% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
479 Passes 337
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-2 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami CONLK
20.06.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 2-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
05.07.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
30.04.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
14.09.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
01.09.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
2-3
AWAY Inter Miami
1.90 xG 1.19
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
401 Passes 447
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami squeezed past Columbus Crew 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Inter Miami made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 47% of the ball to Inter Miami's 53%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.90 to 1.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Columbus Crew.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.67 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?

Columbus Crew 2-3 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 40%, draw 27%, Inter Miami 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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