Columbus Crew 3-2 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.9
2-3 Goals
38%
2.06
4-5 Goals
26%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
5.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.7pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.79/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.69
+31% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
16.0 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.63 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
467 Passes 333
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 2-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
05.07.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
30.04.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
14.09.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
01.09.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
17.10.2021 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-0 HT 2-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
3-2
AWAY Inter Miami
1.79 xG 1.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
475 Passes 360
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew nicked a narrow win over Inter Miami 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 54% of the ball to Inter Miami's 46%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.79 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.33 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?

Columbus Crew 3-2 Inter Miami in the Concacaf League Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 46%, draw 26%, Inter Miami 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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