FC Cincinnati 2-4 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 14 Aug 2024

FC Cincinnati
2-4 HT 0-0
Philadelphia Union
📅14/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Concacaf League Cup – 2024

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+35% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.5 Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards –

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.63 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 285
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.06.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 4-3 HT 1-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
26.11.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
17.09.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
09.04.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
21.10.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
07.08.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD

FC Cincinnati 2-4 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
2-4
AWAY Philadelphia Union
2.11 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
455 Passes 335
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
42 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union saw off FC Cincinnati 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Cincinnati at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 56% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 44%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 2.11 to 1.18 — on chances, FC Cincinnati could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.17 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

FC Cincinnati 2-4 Philadelphia Union in the Concacaf League Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 45%, draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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