Cruz Azul 2-2 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-12.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +76% / +76%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +114%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
Crosses 12.5
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mazatlan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.85 xG 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
369 Passes 269
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
28.01.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-1 HT 2-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
16.09.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-2 HT 2-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
04.03.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 3-1 HT 1-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
12.09.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-0 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
09.04.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-1 HT 1-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
2-2
AWAY Mazatlan
1.18 xG 1.89
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
461 Passes 199
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul and Mazatlan shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 65% of the ball to Mazatlan's 35%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.18 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.17 for Mazatlan.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan?

Cruz Azul 2-2 Mazatlan in the Concacaf League Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 48%, draw 26%, Mazatlan 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cruz Azul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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