Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
3-1
HT 1-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
2-0
HT 2-0
Mazatlan
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
0-2
HT 0-1
Mazatlan
MEK
Cruz Azul 1-0 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Mazatlan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 66% of the ball to Mazatlan's 34%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.96 to 0.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cruz Azul's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.50 for Mazatlan.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan?
Cruz Azul 1-0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 57%, draw 20%, Mazatlan 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.