Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cruz Azul v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cruz Azul 1-0 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Mazatlan 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 66% of the ball to Mazatlan's 34%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.96 to 0.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cruz Azul's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.50 for Mazatlan.
Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan Result & Final Score
Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 74%, draw 15%, Mazatlan 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.