Atletico San Luis 2-1 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 7 Jul 2024

Atletico San Luis
2-1 HT 1-1
Club America
📅07/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Atletico San Luis vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
10.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.18 — our 28% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico San Luis v Club America — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.14/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.98
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
15.5 Crosses 18.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Atletico San Luis vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Club America
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.30 xG 1.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
436 Passes 416
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
10.12.2023 Club America Club America 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
07.12.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-5 HT 0-2 Club America Club America MEK
02.11.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-1 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
14.05.2023 Club America Club America 1-2 HT 0-2 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
11.05.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-3 HT 1-3 Club America Club America MEK

Atletico San Luis 2-1 Club America — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
2-1
AWAY Club America
1.16 xG 1.08
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
272 Passes 516
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis nicked a narrow win over Club America 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Club America at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 37% of the ball to Club America's 63%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.16 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico San Luis and 2.00 for Club America.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Club America?

Atletico San Luis 2-1 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 27%, draw 21%, Club America 52%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club America) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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