Club America 2-1 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -18%
1.83/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.59
+14% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
382 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 79%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.9 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 Passes 450
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Club America Club America 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
07.12.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-5 HT 0-2 Club America Club America MEK
02.11.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-1 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
14.05.2023 Club America Club America 1-2 HT 0-2 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
11.05.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-3 HT 1-3 Club America Club America MEK
15.02.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-3 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
2-1
AWAY Atletico San Luis
0.89 xG 1.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 8
435 Passes 318
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club America vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America edged past Atletico San Luis 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Club America had 56% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 44%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.89 to 1.89 — the balance of chances actually favoured Atletico San Luis.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Club America vs Atletico San Luis?

Club America 2-1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Club America 59%, draw 21%, Atletico San Luis 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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