Mazatlan 2-0 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 30 Mar 2024

Mazatlan
2-0 HT 1-0
Tijuana
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Mazatlan vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
3.0
6+ Goals
13%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
42%
+8.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mazatlan v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.40/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.29
+21% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
16.0 Crosses 13.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Mazatlan vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tijuana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.93 xG 1.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
282 Passes 324
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
15.04.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
31.07.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
12.02.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-0 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
25.09.2021 Tijuana Tijuana 0-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
12.04.2021 Tijuana Tijuana 2-3 HT 2-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK

Mazatlan 2-0 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
2-0
AWAY Tijuana
1.03 xG 0.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
397 Passes 354
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan got the better of Tijuana 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mazatlan as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mazatlan had 52% of the ball to Tijuana's 48%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.03 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mazatlan and 1.17 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Tijuana?

Mazatlan 2-0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 51%, draw 21%, Tijuana 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mazatlan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mazatlan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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