Puebla vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Puebla v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals
Puebla vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Puebla
MEK
2-2
HT 1-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Puebla
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Puebla
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Puebla
MEK
2-1
HT 2-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
Puebla 2-3 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL edged past Puebla 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Puebla had 37% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 63%, shots finished 22-18, expected goals 2.11 to 2.34.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Puebla and 1.50 for Tigres UANL.
What was the final score of Puebla vs Tigres UANL?
Puebla 2-3 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Puebla vs Tigres UANL?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Puebla 29%, draw 25%, Tigres UANL 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.