Tigres UANL vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
2-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
2-0
HT 2-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
Tigres UANL 1-0 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL squeezed past Necaxa 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 57% of the ball to Necaxa's 43%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.68 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.67 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Necaxa?
Tigres UANL 1-0 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 51%, draw 26%, Necaxa 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.