Tigres UANL vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
2-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
2-0
HT 2-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
Tigres UANL 5-2 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL cruised past Necaxa 5-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 71% of the ball to Necaxa's 29%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.49 to 0.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.33 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Necaxa?
Tigres UANL 5-2 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 48%, draw 27%, Necaxa 24%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.