Tigres UANL 5-2 Necaxa — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
HomeVIEW
62%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.95
Away
16%
4.76
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.02
Over
55%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.94
2-3
47%
1.84
4-5
25%
3.14
6+
6%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tigres UANL The Market 64%
Signal
AWAY Necaxa The Market 21%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.13 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
0.78 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.73
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Strong
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Necaxa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.94 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
409 Passes 293
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.08.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 0-3 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
04.03.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
09.10.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
28.08.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
20.04.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 2-0 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
04.10.2021 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
5 - 2
AWAY Necaxa
1.49 xG 0.24
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
515 Passes 170
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Tigres UANL vs Necaxa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tigres UANL made light work of Necaxa 5-2. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Tigres UANL had 71% of the ball to Necaxa's 29%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.49 to 0.24.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.33 for Necaxa.

Tigres UANL vs Necaxa Result & Final Score

Tigres UANL 5 - 2 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tigres UANL vs Necaxa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 62%, draw 22%, Necaxa 16%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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