Pumas UNAM vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM v Club America — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
0-3
HT 0-1
Club America
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Club America
MEK
1-3
HT 1-2
Pumas UNAM
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Club America
MEK
Pumas UNAM 2-1 Club America — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM edged past Club America 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Club America at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pumas UNAM had 40% of the ball to Club America's 60%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.66 to 1.38 — on chances, Club America could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.00 for Club America.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Club America?
Pumas UNAM 2-1 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Club America?
Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 32%, draw 27%, Club America 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.