Leon vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
Leon v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Leon 2-0 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
Leon put daylight between themselves and Monterrey 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Leon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Monterrey saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.79 to 0.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Leon against 1.67 for Monterrey.
Leon vs Monterrey Result & Final Score
Leon 2 - 0 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Leon vs Monterrey Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leon 33%, draw 27%, Monterrey 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.