Santos Laguna 0-2 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.23/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.38
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.3 Crosses 16.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pachuca
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.67 xG 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
227 Passes 294
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 3-2 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
07.05.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 4-4 HT 3-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
10.04.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-4 HT 1-2 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
04.09.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 2-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
04.04.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-1 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
17.10.2021 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
0-2
AWAY Pachuca
0.45 xG 1.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
391 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca beat Santos Laguna 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Santos Laguna at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 55% of the ball to Pachuca's 45%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.45 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Santos Laguna and 2.50 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Pachuca?

Santos Laguna 0-2 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos Laguna win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 41%, draw 24%, Pachuca 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santos Laguna) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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