Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Guadalajara v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Guadalajara 0-0 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
neither Guadalajara nor Toluca could break the deadlock in a goalless afternoon. A game for the defenders, not the highlight reels.
Our pre-match lean was Guadalajara at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Guadalajara had 52% of the ball to Toluca's 48%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.26 to 0.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guadalajara and 0.83 for Toluca.
Guadalajara vs Toluca Result & Final Score
Guadalajara 0 - 0 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 41%, draw 26%, Toluca 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.