Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-2
HT 1-0
Toluca
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
Guadalajara 0-0 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara and Toluca fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Guadalajara had 52% of the ball to Toluca's 48%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.26 to 0.56.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guadalajara and 0.83 for Toluca.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Toluca?
Guadalajara 0-0 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Toluca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 39%, draw 24%, Toluca 37%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.