Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Guadalajara v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Guadalajara 1-0 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara shaded a tight game against Toluca 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Guadalajara made the difference. The one blemish: both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Guadalajara had 51% of the ball to Toluca's 49%, shots finished 3-9, expected goals 0.09 to 0.35.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guadalajara and 1.00 for Toluca.
Guadalajara vs Toluca Result & Final Score
Guadalajara 1 - 0 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 40%, draw 28%, Toluca 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.