Pachuca 1-1 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒06:16 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.66
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
9%
6.89
X/2
16%
4.94
X/X
10%
4.91
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
20%
2.91
2/X
10%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.20/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.09
-20% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
19.1 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Club America
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 Passes 450
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 2-1 Club America Club America CON
24.04.2024 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca CON
18.02.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
04.10.2023 Club America Club America 4-0 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
05.03.2023 Club America Club America 0-3 HT 0-3 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
18.08.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 0-3 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
1-1
AWAY Club America
1.40 xG 0.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
325 Passes 383
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca and Club America couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Club America at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Pachuca had 47% of the ball to Club America's 53%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.40 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pachuca and 1.67 for Club America.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Club America?

Pachuca 1-1 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 31%, draw 26%, Club America 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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