Club America 1-1 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 24 Apr 2024

Club America
1-1 HT 1-1
Pachuca
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒05:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
CONCACAF Champions League – 2024

Club America vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.36
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club America v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 23%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.09/0.10
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -90% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
– Crosses 8.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Club America vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pachuca
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 1.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
391 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
04.10.2023 Club America Club America 4-0 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
05.03.2023 Club America Club America 0-3 HT 0-3 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
18.08.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 0-3 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
23.05.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 3-0 HT 2-0 Club America Club America MEK
20.05.2022 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK

Club America 1-1 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
1-1
AWAY Pachuca
0.68 xG 0.56
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
425 Passes 248
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club America vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America and Pachuca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Club America at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Club America had 60% of the ball to Pachuca's 40%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.68 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club America and 1.50 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of Club America vs Pachuca?

Club America 1-1 Pachuca in the CONCACAF Champions League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Club America 46%, draw 26%, Pachuca 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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