Pachuca 2-1 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.29
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.2pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.6pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 51%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +21%
1.35/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.99
-7% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
18.5 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Club America
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
276 Passes 356
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2023 Club America Club America 4-0 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
05.03.2023 Club America Club America 0-3 HT 0-3 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
18.08.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 0-3 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
23.05.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 3-0 HT 2-0 Club America Club America MEK
20.05.2022 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
21.02.2022 Club America Club America 1-3 HT 0-2 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
2-1
AWAY Club America
1.91 xG 1.18
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
259 Passes 431
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca squeezed past Club America 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Club America at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pachuca had 40% of the ball to Club America's 60%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.91 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pachuca and 1.50 for Club America.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Club America?

Pachuca 2-1 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 33%, draw 18%, Club America 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club America) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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