Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
2-3
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
2-2
HT 2-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
Cruz Azul 1-0 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Tigres UANL 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cruz Azul found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 66% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 34%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 1.04 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.33 for Tigres UANL.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL?
Cruz Azul 1-0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 39%, draw 26%, Tigres UANL 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.