Pachuca 2-1 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 1 May 2024

Pachuca
2-1 HT 2-1
Club America
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
CONCACAF Champions League – 2024

Pachuca vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.51 — our 26% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-8.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.0pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pachuca v Club America — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 46%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/0.35
-22% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
– Crosses 8.3
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Pachuca vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Club America
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.32
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
269 Passes 424
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.04.2024 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca CON
18.02.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
04.10.2023 Club America Club America 4-0 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
05.03.2023 Club America Club America 0-3 HT 0-3 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
18.08.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 0-3 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
23.05.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 3-0 HT 2-0 Club America Club America MEK

Pachuca 2-1 Club America — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
2-1
AWAY Club America
1.58 xG 0.98
32% Ball Possession 68%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
169 Passes 459
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca edged past Club America 2-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Pachuca found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pachuca had 32% of the ball to Club America's 68%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.58 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pachuca and 1.50 for Club America.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Club America?

Pachuca 2-1 Club America in the CONCACAF Champions League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 39%, draw 26%, Club America 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Over 2.5
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