Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
3-1
HT 1-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
2-0
HT 2-0
Mazatlan
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
0-2
HT 0-1
Mazatlan
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Mazatlan
MEK
Cruz Azul 2-1 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul squeezed past Mazatlan 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 59% of the ball to Mazatlan's 41%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.29 to 0.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cruz Azul's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.33 for Mazatlan.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan?
Cruz Azul 2-1 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Mazatlan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 47%, draw 26%, Mazatlan 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.