Leon vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
0-2
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
4-1
HT 3-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
2-1
HT 1-1
Leon
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Leon
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Santos Laguna
MEK
Leon 3-2 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Leon nicked a narrow win over Santos Laguna 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Leon had 70% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 30%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.57 to 1.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leon and 1.17 for Santos Laguna.
What was the final score of Leon vs Santos Laguna?
Leon 3-2 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Santos Laguna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leon 45%, draw 26%, Santos Laguna 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.