Necaxa 0-0 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.26
2-3 Goals
46%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.62
1/2
12%
22.6
1/X
8%
15.85
X/1
10%
9.85
X/2
21%
3.87
X/X
10%
5.33
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.1
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
20%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
54%
Away Win
56%
-2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Necaxa EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 60%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.93/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.00
-38% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
17.6 Crosses 17.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Club America
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.74
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
232 Passes 396
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2023 Club America Club America 3-2 HT 2-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
12.02.2023 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
11.09.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 1-2 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
03.04.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
01.08.2021 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
04.04.2021 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Necaxa
0-0
AWAY Club America
0.61 xG 0.61
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
220 Passes 599
81% Pass Accuracy 91%
7 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Necaxa vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Necaxa and Club America fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Club America at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Necaxa had 30% of the ball to Club America's 70%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.61 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Necaxa and 2.00 for Club America.

What was the final score of Necaxa vs Club America?

Necaxa 0-0 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 22%, draw 24%, Club America 54%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Club America) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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