Tigres UANL 1-2 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
7%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 30% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
0.65/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.56
-34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -61%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
12.0 Crosses 8.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
2W-0D-0L
AWAY New York City FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
469 Passes 333
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
16.12.2020 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC CON
12.03.2020 New York City FC New York City FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL CON
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York City FC squeezed past Tigres UANL 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; New York City FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.00 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs New York City FC?

Tigres UANL 1-2 New York City FC in the Concacaf League Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 38%, draw 26%, New York City FC 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tigres UANL), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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