Club America 4-2 St. Louis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.3
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
14%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Louis EU Bookmakers 21%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
1W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Louis
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.91 xG 0.32
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
505 Passes 296
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 6
5 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
28.07.2023 St. Louis St. Louis 0-4 HT 0-1 Club America Club America CONLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
4-2
AWAY St. Louis
3.51 xG 2.71
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
416 Passes 330
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Club America vs St. Louis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America saw off St. Louis 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Club America had 55% of the ball to St. Louis's 45%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 3.51 to 2.71.

What was the final score of Club America vs St. Louis?

Club America 4-2 St. Louis in the Concacaf League Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs St. Louis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Club America 51%, draw 25%, St. Louis 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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