Los Angeles FC 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.6
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.55
X/1
18%
3.82
X/2
8%
15.75
X/X
13%
8.31
2/1
8%
19.1
2/2
9%
10.45
2/X
5%
18.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.8pp
24%
Draw
18%
+7.0pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.5pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 17%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+53% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
35.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.81 xG 1.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
428 Passes 287
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 6-2 HT 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
05.05.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 3-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
09.07.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
21.05.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
07.05.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 HT 1-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
21.08.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
4-1
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.93 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
401 Passes 471
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC ran out comfortable winners over San Jose Earthquakes 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 46% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 54%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.93 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.83 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Los Angeles FC 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes in the Concacaf League Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 55%, draw 24%, San Jose Earthquakes 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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