San Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.39
1/2
6%
22.7
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
9%
6.73
X/2
15%
4.95
X/X
11%
5.42
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
18%
2.87
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.9pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -28%
1.55/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.33
+21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
16.6 Crosses 13.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.41 xG 1.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
313 Passes 346
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.07.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
21.05.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
07.05.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 HT 1-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
21.08.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
29.05.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-2 HT 2-2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
16.10.2021 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-1 HT 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
3-1
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.46 xG 1.90
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
250 Passes 449
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Jose Earthquakes beat Los Angeles FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; San Jose Earthquakes found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 38% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 62%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.46 to 1.90 — on chances, Los Angeles FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.83 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC?

San Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 35%, draw 25%, Los Angeles FC 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Los Angeles FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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