DC United vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
DC United v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
DC United vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-3
Philadelphia Union
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
DC United
CONLK
0-0
HT 0-0
DC United
ABD
0-6
HT 0-2
Philadelphia Union
ABD
7-0
HT 5-0
DC United
ABD
3-1
HT 1-1
Philadelphia Union
ABD
DC United 2-2 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
DC United and Philadelphia Union shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, DC United had 48% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 52%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.10 to 0.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for DC United and 2.83 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
DC United 2-2 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split DC United 40%, draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (DC United) went the other way.