Orlando City 0-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.92
1/2
10%
33.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
9%
4.86
X/2
10%
6.86
X/X
14%
4.73
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
13%
4.77
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +23%
1.56/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.55
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.6 Crosses 12.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.88 xG 1.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
402 Passes 380
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
05.03.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
25.06.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
13.03.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
17.10.2021 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
08.08.2021 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-1 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
0-1
AWAY FC Cincinnati
0.69 xG 0.96
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
281 Passes 457
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati nicked a narrow win over Orlando City 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and on the day FC Cincinnati made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Orlando City had 41% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 59%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.69 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orlando City and 0.67 for FC Cincinnati.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati?

Orlando City 0-1 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 40%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orlando City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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