Inter Miami 6-2 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
2.93
6+ Goals
13%
8.62
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.4
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
15%
4.59
X/2
6%
8.4
X/X
7%
5.5
2/1
8%
21.45
2/2
13%
5.62
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
1.59/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.37
-11% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
16.7 Crosses 15.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
2W-0D-4L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 1.63
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
373 Passes 291
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
27.08.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-2 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
01.06.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
28.08.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-1 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
23.05.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
10.10.2021 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
6-2
AWAY New York Red Bulls
2.79 xG 1.47
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
561 Passes 390
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami ran out comfortable winners over New York Red Bulls 6-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Inter Miami had 58% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 42%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.79 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Inter Miami and 1.50 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?

Inter Miami 6-2 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 47%, draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 28%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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