Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
1-4
HT 1-4
New York Red Bulls
ABD
Toronto FC 1-4 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls swept aside Toronto FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day New York Red Bulls made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Toronto FC had 56% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 44%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.69 to 2.20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Toronto FC and 2.00 for New York Red Bulls.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Toronto FC 1-4 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Before kick-off our model rated an New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 37%, draw 24%, New York Red Bulls 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls) — a clean sweep of the main markets.