New York Red Bulls 0-0 Toronto FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 25% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-75% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Toronto FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.77 xG 0.68
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
260 Passes 432
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
08.10.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
18.05.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 0-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
19.06.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
05.03.2022 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-4 HT 1-4 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
22.07.2021 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
0-0
AWAY Toronto FC
0.70 xG 0.64
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
325 Passes 519
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was New York Red Bulls at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 40% of the ball to Toronto FC's 60%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.70 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for New York Red Bulls and 0.33 for Toronto FC.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?

New York Red Bulls 0-0 Toronto FC in the Concacaf League Cup on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 51%, draw 24%, Toronto FC 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Under 2.5
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