Houston Dynamo vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Houston Dynamo v Atlas — Team-Based Signals
Houston Dynamo 0-1 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics
Atlas squeezed past Houston Dynamo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Houston Dynamo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Houston Dynamo had 60% of the ball to Atlas's 40%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.09 to 1.10.
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Atlas?
Houston Dynamo 0-1 Atlas in the Concacaf League Cup on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Atlas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 47%, draw 27%, Atlas 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.