Guadalajara 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.3pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
Crosses 26.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadalajara
1-1
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.77 xG 0.45
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
438 Passes 226
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
48 Box Touches 18
31 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Guadalajara vs San Jose Earthquakes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalajara and San Jose Earthquakes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guadalajara at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Guadalajara had 63% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 37%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.77 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Guadalajara vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Guadalajara 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes in the Concacaf League Cup on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 51%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guadalajara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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