New England Revolution 1-0 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.5pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-0
AWAY Mazatlan
1.76 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
395 Passes 325
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution squeezed past Mazatlan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day New England Revolution made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, New England Revolution had 53% of the ball to Mazatlan's 47%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.76 to 0.99.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Mazatlan?

New England Revolution 1-0 Mazatlan in the Concacaf League Cup on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 36%, draw 33%, Mazatlan 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New England Revolution), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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