Philadelphia Union 1-0 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-44% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Charlotte
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.00 xG 1.55
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
278 Passes 368
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.06.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-2 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.05.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 0-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
21.09.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
01.06.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
02.10.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 4-0 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
03.04.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
1-0
AWAY Charlotte
0.78 xG 0.39
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
358 Passes 368
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union nicked a narrow win over Charlotte 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 49% of the ball to Charlotte's 51%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.78 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.33 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?

Philadelphia Union 1-0 Charlotte in the Concacaf League Cup on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 49%, draw 24%, Charlotte 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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