Philadelphia Union 0-2 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Jun 2024

Philadelphia Union
0-2 HT 0-0
Charlotte
📅23/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 29% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.14
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
14%
5.04
X/2 EV+ ✓
17%
6.18
X/X
9%
5.06
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
10%
4.17
2/X
7%
13.35
Value flag · X/2 at 6.18 — our 17% vs market 12.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Philadelphia Union v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.77/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.40
-1% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.7 Crosses 15.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Charlotte
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.00 xG 1.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
253 Passes 381
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 0-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
21.09.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
01.06.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
02.10.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 4-0 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
03.04.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD

Philadelphia Union 0-2 Charlotte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
0-2
AWAY Charlotte
0.98 xG 2.56
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 9
404 Passes 302
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte got the better of Philadelphia Union 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Philadelphia Union at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 56% of the ball to Charlotte's 44%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 0.98 to 2.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.20 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?

Philadelphia Union 0-2 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 43%, draw 25%, Charlotte 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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